Global Plastic Pollution to Exceed 280 Million Mtpa by 2040, Warns Pew Report

SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Global plastic pollution is on track to reach 280 million metric tonnes per year by 2040—equivalent to a dump truck every second—according to Breaking the Plastic Wave 2025, a report by the Pew Charitable Trusts and ICF International. Despite growing awareness of plastic clogging oceans and breaking down into microplastics, human production continues to accelerate.

The report expands on Pew’s 2020 analysis, examining not only consumer plastics but also “hidden” sources in construction, agriculture, and transportation. It warns that, if current trends persist, plastic production will rise 52% by 2040, outpacing waste management systems, while plastic-related greenhouse gas emissions could surge 58%, reaching 4.2 gigatons of CO₂ equivalent annually—ranking plastic production as the world’s third-largest emitter if it were a country.

Health impacts are also significant: by 2040, plastic-related pollution could cost the global population 9.8 million healthy life years, primarily due to cancers and respiratory diseases from chemical exposure. Microplastics, mostly from tire dust, paint, and agricultural plastics, remain difficult to control.

The report recommends cutting plastic production, substituting safer chemicals, and improving waste collection.

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