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Nucor Expects Lower Q4 2025 Profits Amid Market Headwinds

Steel News  |  2025-12-22 04:35:45

In the raw materials segment, earnings are anticipated to decline mainly because of two scheduled outages at Nucor’s direct reduced iron facilities.

Summary
  • Q4 EPS Guidance: Nucor expects diluted earnings per share of $1.65–$1.75, down from $2.63 in Q3 2025.
  • Segment Weakness: Declines are projected across steel mills, steel products, and raw materials due to lower volumes, higher costs, and scheduled facility outages.
  • 2026 Outlook: Nucor remains positive, citing higher backlogs and momentum in energy, infrastructure, data centers, and manufacturing markets.

SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Nucor Corporation has announced earnings guidance for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, forecasting diluted earnings per share in the range of $1.65 to $1.75. This compares with net earnings of $2.63 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2025 and $1.22 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2024.

The company expects sequential earnings declines across all three operating segments, largely due to seasonal factors and fewer shipping days in the quarter.

Earnings in the steel mills segment are projected to decrease on lower shipment volumes and margin compression, particularly in sheet products.

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The steel products segment is also expected to report weaker results, reflecting lower volumes and higher average costs per ton, partially offset by improved realized pricing.

In the raw materials segment, earnings are anticipated to decline mainly because of two scheduled outages at Nucor’s direct reduced iron facilities.

Looking ahead to 2026, Nucor remains optimistic, citing materially higher backlogs and continued momentum in energy, infrastructure, data centers and manufacturing markets. The company plans to release fourth-quarter earnings on January 26, 2026, followed by a conference call on January 27.

Frequently Asked Questions


  • Why is Nucor projecting lower Q4 earnings?
  • Seasonal factors, fewer shipping days, lower steel volumes, margin compression, and scheduled outages at iron facilities are the main reasons.

  • Which segments are expected to be most affected?
  • All three segments—steel mills, steel products, and raw materials—are expected to see sequential declines.

  • When will Nucor release its Q4 earnings?
  • The earnings report is scheduled for January 26, 2026, with a conference call on January 27.

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