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Paper Recycling | 2026-04-09 07:53:27
The report highlights that industry growth is now tracking at or below GDP levels, with weak demand and inflationary pressures compressing margins.
SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): McKinsey & Company has warned that the global paper and packaging industry is entering a period of structural reset, as shifting market dynamics, cost pressures, and cautious consumer spending weigh on growth and profitability.
According to its latest report, strong demand alone is no longer sufficient to sustain performance. External disruptions, including supply chain shocks, geopolitical uncertainty, and evolving e-commerce trends, continue to challenge operations. At the same time, consumers are prioritising price and quality, while sustainability-driven demand remains selective rather than widespread.
The report highlights that industry growth is now tracking at or below GDP levels, with weak demand and inflationary pressures compressing margins. Consolidation and rising leadership turnover are adding further complexity across the sector.
To navigate these headwinds, McKinsey emphasised four strategic priorities: strengthening commercial execution, maintaining strict cost discipline, revitalising leadership and talent, and leveraging advanced analytics and generative AI for value creation.
Experts note that future success will depend less on broad market exposure and more on targeted growth in high-performing segments. Companies must also adapt to evolving regulatory requirements and consumer expectations to remain competitive in an increasingly volatile and low-growth environment.
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Slowing demand, rising costs, and evolving market dynamics are reducing growth and profitability.
Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical uncertainty, and changing e-commerce trends.
Targeted growth in high-performing segments and adaptation to regulatory and consumer shifts.