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India Gold Market Cools as Imports, ETF Flows Retreat

Gold  |  2026-06-22 08:01:46

Higher import duties impacted gold imports, which declined 39% month-on-month to US$3.4 billion in May.

Summary
  • Gold demand slowed: Jewellery, bar, and coin demand weakened due to seasonal factors, elevated domestic prices, and price volatility.
  • Import duty impact: Higher import duties pushed domestic gold prices higher and led to a 39% month-on-month decline in gold imports during May.
  • ETF and market outlook: Indian gold ETFs recorded record net outflows in May, but investor sentiment improved in June, with demand expected to recover from August onward.

SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): India’s gold market witnessed a notable slowdown in demand during May and early June 2026. While international gold prices remained broadly flat year-to-date, domestic gold prices were up 13.2% as of mid-June, supported by a hike in import duties and an ongoing depreciation of the local currency against the U.S. dollar.

Following the import duty hike in mid-May, domestic gold prices briefly traded at steep discounts, with discounts widening to nearly US$150 per ounce. However, market conditions gradually normalized, with discounts narrowing to around US$25 per ounce by mid-June.

RELATED NEWS:

India Gold Market Faces Pressure After Duty Hike: World Gold Council

India Gold Prices Rise as Investment Demand Offsets Weak Jewellery Sales

Jewellery demand remained subdued, driven by the seasonal off-season and heightened price volatility. Industry participants reported weaker retail footfall, while demand for bars and coins also remained sluggish. 

Indian gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded their first monthly net outflow since April 2025, with net outflows reaching a record INR 7.25 billion in May. However, improved investor sentiment in June resulted in renewed inflows.

Higher import duties impacted gold imports, which declined 39% month-on-month to US$3.4 billion in May. Despite the drop, imports remained 34% higher year-on-year.

According to market participants, domestic gold demand is expected to remain soft through June and July before improving from August onwards as the seasonal demand cycle kicks in.

Frequently Asked Questions


  • Why did India's gold demand weaken in May and early June 2026?
  • Demand slowed due to higher domestic gold prices, increased import duties, seasonal weakness, and heightened price volatility.

  • How much did domestic gold prices rise in India?
  • Domestic gold prices were up 13.2% by mid-June 2026, supported by higher import duties and rupee depreciation against the U.S. dollar.

  • What happened to gold imports in May 2026?
  • Gold imports declined 39% month-on-month to US$3.4 billion, although they remained 34% higher compared to May 2025.

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