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Gold ticks up as markets digest US-Iran updates, await inflation data

Gold  |  2026-05-12 04:56:38

Gold tends to ⁠come under pressure despite its safe-haven appeal, as higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.

SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Gold prices reversed course to edge up on Monday in volatile trading, ‌as investors assessed developments in U.S.-Iran diplomacy and awaited key U.S. inflation data due later this week.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $4,723.40 per ounce, by 2:02 a.m. EDT (1802 GMT) after falling over 1% earlier ​in the session.

U.S. gold futures settled little changed at $4,728.70.

"There is just some bargain ​hunting coming in and positioning ahead of the U.S. inflation data this ⁠week," said Jim Wyckoff, market analyst at American Gold Exchange.

Focus will be on the ​U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) due on Tuesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) scheduled for release ​on Wednesday.

On the geopolitical front, President Donald Trump's swift rejection of Iran's response to a U.S. peace proposal has fuelled concerns that the 10-week-old conflict will drag on and continue to paralyse shipping through the ​Strait of Hormuz, pushing oil prices higher.

"The setback keeps the ceasefire timeline uncertain and ​inflation risks elevated – reinforcing the higher-for-longer rate narrative that has weighed on gold throughout the conflict," ING ‌analysts ⁠said in a note.

They added that they see prices rising to $5,000/oz by year-end, but the stalling of peace talks adds near-term uncertainty.

Global brokerages have scaled back expectations of two U.S. interest rate cuts this year, with forecasts now split between some easing and no ​cuts at all in ​2026.

Gold tends to ⁠come under pressure despite its safe-haven appeal, as higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.

Markets are also watching Trump’s two-day ​visit to China this week, where he is set to meet ​Chinese President ⁠Xi Jinping to discuss Iran, Taiwan, artificial intelligence and nuclear weapons.

Elsewhere, shares of Indian jewellery retailers tumbled after Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged people to refrain from buying gold for a year ⁠to protect ​foreign exchange reserves. India is the second-largest gold ​consumer.

Among other metals, spot silver was up 6.6% at $85.65 per ounce, platinum gained 3% to $2,116.72, and palladium added 0.8% ​at $1,503.11.


Courtesy: www.reuters.com

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