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China ETF Flows, Central Bank Buying Lift Gold: WGC

Gold  |  2026-04-16 05:54:38

Strong investment demand helped offset continued weakness in the jewellery segment.

Summary
  • March weakness: Gold prices fell sharply, trimming Q1 gains amid rate cut uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
  • Demand rebounds: Wholesale demand surged 57% m/m in March, lifting Q1 demand 3% y/y.
  • China drives momentum: Strong ETF inflows and continued buying by the People’s Bank of China supported the market.

SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Gold prices ended the first quarter of 2026 on a weaker note, as both the LBMA Gold Price PM and the Shanghai Gold Benchmark Price PM declined sharply in March, trimming overall quarterly gains, said World Gold Council (WGC). Prices fell amid reduced expectations of U.S. rate cuts and heightened geopolitical uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict.

Despite the March dip, gold staged a recovery toward month-end, extending into April as investors returned to the market. Wholesale gold demand rebounded strongly, rising 57% month-on-month to 134 tonnes in March, pushing Q1 demand 3% higher year-on-year to 345 tonnes. Strong investment demand helped offset continued weakness in the jewellery segment.

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Chinese gold ETFs remained a standout, recording robust inflows of RMB59 billion (US$8.5 billion) during the quarter. Total assets under management surged 26% to RMB304 billion, while holdings increased significantly to 298 tonnes.

Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China extended its gold buying streak to 17 consecutive months, adding 5 tonnes in March. Looking ahead, softer jewellery demand in Q2 may persist, although investment demand could remain supported by lower bond yields and limited alternative investment options.

Frequently Asked Questions


  • Why did gold prices decline in March 2026?
  • Prices fell due to reduced expectations of U.S. rate cuts and geopolitical uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict.

  • How did gold demand perform in March?
  • Wholesale demand rebounded sharply by 57% month-on-month to 134 tonnes.

  • What is the outlook for Q2 2026?
  • Jewellery demand may remain weak, but investment demand could stay strong due to lower bond yields.

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