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Steel Dynamics Projects Q1 Growth on Rising Steel Margins

Steel News  |  2026-03-18 10:18:24

Although shipments were temporarily affected by winter disruptions earlier in the quarter, scrap flows have since stabilized.

Summary
  • Steel Dynamics, Inc. projects Q1 2026 EPS of $2.73–$2.77, sharply higher than previous quarters.
  • Growth is driven by stronger steel shipments, widening margins, and solid demand from construction, automotive, and energy sectors.
  • Recycling and fabrication segments remain stable, while aluminum operations ramp up and share buybacks are set to resume.

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SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Steel Dynamics, Inc. has issued strong earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2026, forecasting diluted earnings per share between $2.73 and $2.77, a sharp increase from $1.82 in the previous quarter and $1.44 a year earlier.

The company expects its steel operations to deliver significantly improved profitability, supported by higher shipments and expanding metal margins as selling prices outpace scrap input costs. Demand remains robust across key sectors, including construction, energy, automotive, and industrial manufacturing.

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Metals recycling operations are also projected to post higher earnings, driven by improved margins for both ferrous and nonferrous materials. Although shipments were temporarily affected by winter disruptions earlier in the quarter, scrap flows have since stabilized.

Steel fabrication earnings are expected to remain steady, with stronger shipment volumes offsetting cost pressures. Order activity has surged, with backlog levels up more than 35% year-on-year and extending into the third quarter of 2026.

Meanwhile, the company continues ramping up its aluminum operations in Mississippi, while maintaining shareholder returns through stock buybacks and planning to resume normal repurchase activity in the second quarter.

Frequently Asked Questions


  • What is driving the improved profitability?
  • Higher steel shipments, expanding metal margins, and selling prices rising faster than scrap input costs.

  • How are recycling operations performing?
  • They are expected to deliver higher earnings due to improved margins in both ferrous and nonferrous materials.

  • What strategic developments are underway?
  • The company is ramping up aluminum operations in Mississippi and plans to resume share buybacks in Q2 2026.

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