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October 3rd 2022

Commodities, Scrap Metal, Recycling and Economic Report October 3, 2022


This is the Commodities, Scrap Metal, Recycling and Economic Report by our BENLEE roll off trailers and gondola trailers/open top trailers, October 3rd, 2022.

 

weekly tonnage of raw steel production

U.S. weekly raw steel production fell to 1.68MT on slowing U.S and global demand.

 

U.S. Dollar Index

The U.S. Dollar index. The U.S. dollar vs. other global currencies. When the U.S. dollar index rises, commodity prices in dollars usually falls. It fell slightly to 112.1 as the Federal Reserve vice chairman said he was concerned that rapidly rising interest rates are hurting global markets.

 

Crude Oil

WTI crude oil price rose to $79.49/b, but it was the fourth monthly decline. This was on recession fears and on OPEC looking at supply cuts. Russia asked OPEC to cut production 1Mb/d to get higher prices to help pay for Russia’s war.

 

Oil Rig Count

The U.S. weekly oil rig count rose slightly to 604, which has been mostly flat for 2+ month. Lower demand is pausing the recent increases.

 

US Field Production of Crude Oil

U.S. weekly crude oil production fell to 12.0Mb/d, mostly flat for 5.5 months. Recent increases were also paused to support higher prices.

 

AMM Weekly Heavy Melt

Scrap steel #1 HMS was steady at $328/GT. Could be down $10/GT or more this week.

 

Hot Roll Coil

Hot-rolled coil steel price fell to $38.80/cwt, $776/T. This was on slowing demand and steady cheaper imports.

 

Copper

Copper price rose to $3.39/lb. This was as China was filling stocks at low prices and global recession fears remain a drag.

 

Aluminum

Aluminum price fell slightly to $.987/lb., $2,155MT off the 1.5 yr. low. This was as the LME may ban Russian Aluminum and on recession fears.

 

Euro Area September Inflation

Euro Area September inflation. Remember their economy is about the size of the U.S. economy. Their inflation rose to 10%, the highest in modern history. Germany was up 10.9%. Euro energy was up 40.8%. Note the below chart covers 32 years.

 

u.s. august core personal consumption

U.S. August Core Personal Consumption Expenditure index (PCE). This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation which excludes food and energy. It rose to 4.9%, which increases the support of the Fed’s probable fourth, .75% interest rate increase.

 

U.S. U of M September Consumer Confidence Index

U.S. U of M September Consumer Confidence index. It rose to 58.6, but long run expectations are still low. Buying conditions and the one-year outlook improved.

 

U.S. Q2 Economic Growth Rate

U.S. Q2 Economic growth rate, GDP was finalized at -.6% after a -1.6% Q1. By most definitions two quarters of negative growth equal a recession. But this negative growth was uniquely driven by inventory reduction, so it does not feel like a recession.

 

U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims

U.S. weekly initial jobless claims fell to 193,000, the lowest since April. You would think that is good, but the Federal Reserve says this is BAD! The good labor market is causing inflation.

 

Dow Jones

Wall Street’s Dow Jones Industrial Average, fell a big 864 points to 28,726. This was due to the high PCE, which is bringing inflation fears so higher interest rates.

 

BENLEE Parts

Roll off truck and trailer parts for sale at BENLEE. Galbreath, Galfab, American, Dragon and Palfinger. Roll-Rite, Pioneer Donovan and Aero tarp systems and parts too. Buy online at our website or call BENLEE at 734-722-8100.

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