Gold Sinks in Shock Selloff as Stock Rout Spurs Robot Trading
Since then, both metals have been trading in a tight range with heightened volatility amid a lack of fresh catalysts.
SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Gold plunged as concerns about artificial intelligence spurred a selloff across financial markets, with algorithmic traders appearing to amplify the precious metal’s sudden drop. Silver and copper also slid.
US equities tumbled as investors bet that AI would dent some companies’ future earnings, triggering a rout across risk assets. The dramatic decline in gold — which didn’t have a clear catalyst — was likely intensified by selling from commodity trading advisers using computer models to bet on price moves, said Michael Ball, a macro strategist at Bloomberg.
Bullion fell as much as 4.1% while silver plunged 11%. Copper on the London Metal Exchange declined 2.9%. The metals have since pared some losses.
Thursday’s AI-disruption driven risk-off tone in equities is starting to broaden out, with metals dropping suddenly on what looks like algo selling.
While there’s been a small bounce, metals are overall getting hit hard in a sudden air-pocket kind of move lower that feels more like systematic strategy selling — the kind of momentum-driven de-risking you often see from the CTA community when levels give way.
Margin calls also likely added to the selloff, with some investors forced to exit positions in commodities including metals to provide liquidity, said Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP SA.
“We are all clueless. It all happened so quickly and feels like a ‘risk-out’ move,” Shiels said. In times of extreme market stress, haven assets like gold will also be sold by investors in dire need of liquidity, she added.
Some of the selloff in gold and silver on Thursday likely also stemmed from profit-taking, as the metals’ most recent blistering rally was driven partly by speculative buying.
“For gold and silver, a great deal of trading remains sentiment and momentum driven. On days like these they will struggle,” said Ole Hansen, a commodity strategist at Saxo Bank.
Gold and silver’s ferocious run since 2024 accelerated last month, with momentum-driven buying helping the metals hit successive highs. That came to an abrupt halt on Jan. 29, with gold plunging the most in over a decade and silver tumbling the most on record.
Since then, both metals have been trading in a tight range with heightened volatility amid a lack of fresh catalysts.
Thursday’s sudden drop in gold prices “doesn’t signal that it’s about to enter a sustained downtrend,” said Fawad Razaqzada, a market analyst at Forex.com. “It does increase the likelihood of continued volatility in the near term. The market has now cleared out a large pocket of downside liquidity, and the next move will depend on how price behaves around key technical levels.”
Despite the recent rout, many banks expect gold to resume its upward trend, arguing that the drivers behind earlier gains remain intact — including geopolitical tensions, questions over the Fed’s independence, and a broader shift away from traditional assets such as currencies and sovereign bonds. JPMorgan Private Bank sees bullion at $6,000-$6,300 an ounce by year-end, while Deutsche Bank AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. also maintain bullish outlooks.
Courtesy: www.finance.yahoo.com