Gold falls on stronger dollar, fading Fed rate-cut hopes

Spot gold has fallen more than 11% since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran began on February 28.

SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Gold prices fell to a ​near one-week low on Monday, pressured by a stronger dollar, while a ‌surge in oil prices following failed U.S.-Iran peace talks fuelled inflation worries and dampened expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year.

Spot gold was down 0.6% at $4,718.98 per ounce, as of ​0222 GMT, after hitting its lowest level since April 7 earlier in the ​session. U.S. gold futures for June delivery fell 1% to $4,742.

The dollar strengthened ⁠0.4% while oil prices jumped above $100 a barrel, as the U.S. Navy prepared ​a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that could restrict Iranian oil shipments after the U.S. ​and Iran failed to reach a deal to end the war.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards responded by warning that military vessels approaching the Strait will be considered a ceasefire breach and dealt with harshly and ​decisively.

'Ceasefire optimism has unwound following the failure of the peace talks, and the resulting ​push higher by the dollar and oil prices has put gold on the back foot again,' said ‌Tim ⁠Waterer, chief market analyst, KCM Trade.

Spot gold has fallen more than 11% since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran began on February 28.

'As soon as oil prices push back above $100, attention quickly turns to potential central bank rate hikes to curb inflation, and it ​is this interest rate ​outlook which is undermining ⁠gold's performance,' Waterer said.

Traders now see little chance of a U.S. rate cut this year, as higher energy prices threaten to ​feed into broader inflation and limit the scope for monetary easing. 

Before ​the war ⁠in the Middle East began, there were expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year.

While inflation typically boosts gold's appeal as a hedge, elevated interest rates weigh on the non-yielding ⁠metal. ​A stronger dollar makes greenback-priced bullion more expensive for ​other currency holders.

Among other metals, spot silver fell 2.2% to $74.23 per ounce, platinum lost 0.5% to $2,034.95, while palladium ​gained 1% to $1,535.77.

Courtesy: www.reuters.com