ICSG Reports Higher Copper Production, Refined Market Remains Oversupplied

Copper  |  2026-01-22 10:16:38   |   By

World refined copper production rose 4.2%, driven by China and the DRC, while ex-China output declined.

Summary
  • Global copper mine production rose about 1% in the first eleven months of 2025, supported by ramp-ups in the DRC and Mongolia, despite declines in Chile and Indonesia.
  • World refined copper output increased 4.2%, led by China and the DRC, while ex-China production declined.
  • ICSG estimates a refined copper surplus of 206,000 tonnes, with apparent global demand rising roughly 4%, driven primarily by China.

SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) has released preliminary November copper supply and demand data in its January 2026 Copper Bulletin, showing moderate growth in global production alongside a refined copper surplus.

According to the report, world copper mine production increased by around 1% during the first eleven months of 2025, supported by project ramp-ups and improved output at several operations, despite disruptions at major mines.

Chile’s mine production declined 1.3%, as gains at Escondida and Centinela were offset by losses at Collahuasi and Quebrada Blanca. Peru recorded a 2.4% increase, while the Democratic Republic of Congo saw output rise 6.5%, aided by Kamoa and Tenke/Kisanfu expansions. Mongolian concentrate production surged 34% due to the Oyu Tolgoy underground ramp-up, while Indonesian output fell sharply following maintenance and operational incidents at Grasberg.

World refined copper production rose 4.2%, driven by China and the DRC, while ex-China output declined. Apparent refined copper usage increased about 4%, led by China, which now accounts for 58% of global demand. ICSG estimates an apparent refined copper surplus of 206,000 tonnes for the first eleven months of 2025.

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