ISRI Monday Report-For the week beginning April 22nd

Markets were mostly off to a weaker start this morning as a series of lackluster corporate earnings reports and an unexpected monthly dip in U.S. existing home sales reportedly weighed on prices

 

For the week beginning Monday, April 22nd  

Markets were mostly off to a weaker start this morning as a series of lackluster corporate earnings reports and an unexpected monthly dip in U.S. existing home sales reportedly weighed on prices. The National Association of Realtors reported this morning that existing home sales declined 0.6% m-o-m in March, although the association attributed the slip to inventory constraints as home prices continue to rise. In London, base metal prices were easier this morning with the exception of nickel as the LME official 3-mo. nickel asking price improved to $15,230/mt ($6.91/1b.). The other metals didn't fare as well as LME official 3-mo. asking prices fell for copper ($6,916/mt = $3.137/1b.), aluminum ($1,873/mt = 85 cents/lb.), lead ($2,016/mt = 91 cents/lb.) and zinc ($1,875/mt = 85 cents/lb.). While the DJ-UBS Commodity Futures Index was off around 0.5% overall, gold and crude oil futures firmed to $1,423/to and $88.65/bbl, respectively, in late morning trading in New York. On Wall Street the Dow Industrials were off 0.3% late this morning while the U.S. dollar firmed to $1.304 vs. the Euro but eased to 99.30 Japanese Yen.

 

 


 

                           Last

CHG

% CHG

Prior Settle

Open

High

Low

COMEX Copper May            3.1335

-0.015

-0.5%

3.1485

3.1465

3.165

3.082

($/lb)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COMEX Gold Jun

1,423.6

28.0

2.0%

1,395.6

1,408.3

1,438.8

1,403.5

($/to)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COMEX Silver May

23.3

0.4

1.6%

23.0

23.3

23.7

23.1

($/to)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYMEX Light Sweet Crude

88.65

0.38

0.4%

88.27

88.2

89.45

87.69

Jun ($/bbl)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SHFE Aluminum Aug

14,565

-25

-0.2%

14,590

14,570

14,605

14,535

(RMB/mt)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SHFE Copper Aug

49,730

-740

-1.5%

50,470

50,440

50,750

48,970

(RMB/mt)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SHFE Zinc Aug

14,580

55

0.4%

14,525

14,620

14,670

14,500

(RMB/mt)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This week we'll see additional figures on U.S. housing, durable goods and consumer sentiment, while flash PMI numbers are due out for China and the Euro zone. The big release of the week comes on Friday with the BEA's advance estimate of 1st quarter GDP growth in the U.S. The consensus forecast is that growth picked up from 0.4% in 40 2012 to 2.8% in the first quarter of this year. Briefing.com  has an even rosier forecast that growth accelerated 3.2% during Jan-Mar. We'll have a look at the week's economic, commodity and scrap market highlights in this week's Friday Report which comes to you from India as we'll be reporting from the MRAI's Indian Metals Recycling Conference 2013 in New Delhi.

Date

Time

Release

Period

Consensus

Prior

Apr 22

10:00

Existing Home Sales

Mar

5.01M

4.95M

Apr 23

09:00

FHFA Housing Price Index

Feb

NA

0.6%

Apr 23

10:00

New Home Sales

Mar

415K

411K

Apr 24

07:00

MBA Mortgage Index

04/20

NA

4.8%

Apr 24

08:30

Durable Orders

Mar

-3.1%

5.6%

Apr 24

08:30

Durable Goods -ex

transportation

Mar

0.0%

-0.7%

Apr 24

10:30

Crude Inventories

04/20

NA

-1.233M

Apr 25

08:30

Initial Claims

04/20

351K

352K

Apr 25

08:30

Continuing Claims

04/13

3060K

3068K

Apr 25

10:30

Natural Gas Inventories

04/20

NA

31 bcf

Apr 26

08:30

GDP-Adv.

Q1

2.8%

0.4%

Apr 26

08:30

Chain Deflator-Adv.

01

1.6%

1.0%

Apr 26

09:55

Michigan Sentiment - Final

Apr

72.4

72.3

 

U.S. On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices* (dollars per gallon)

 

 

 

 

 

Change from

 

04/01/13

04/08/13

04/15/13

 

Week ago

Year ago

U.S.

3.993

3.977

3.942

 

 -0.035

 -0.185

East Coast

4.025

4.009

3.977

 

 -0.032

 -0.204

New England

4.148

4.134

4.105

 

 -0.029

 -0.164

Central Atlantic

4.083

4.062

4.032

 

-0.030

-0.248

Lower Atlantic

3.958

3.946

3.911

 

-0.035

-0.180

Midwest

3.970

3.956

3.923

 

-0.033

 -0.098

Gulf Coast

3.915

3.888

3.852

 

-0.036

 -0.186

Rocky Mountain

3.922

3.899

3.882

 

-0.017

-0.247

West Coast

4.116

4.117

4.066

 

-0.051

-0.323

West Coast less California

4.016

4.023

3.970

 

-0.053

-0.386

California

4.200

4.196

4.147

 

-0.049

-0.271

*prices include all taxes

 

Chart of the week

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