Kaloti Precious Metals-Morning Market Report-Monday, March 20, 2017

Yellen Surprises Hedge Funds Who Cut Gold Wagers Before Rally

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OTC Trading Range For

All Times Are

As Per Dubai

 

Date

20/03/2017

 

17/03/2017

 

 

Gold

Silver

 

Platinum

Palladium

 

Open At 03.00

 

$1,226.61

$17.31

 

$957.92

$767.13

 

High Bid

 

$1,231.74

$17.41

 

$965.35

$779.94

 

Low Offer

 

$1,224.54

$17.23

 

$952.80

$764.64

 

Close At 02.00

 

$1,229.26

$17.40

 

$964.97

$776.65

 

Previous Close

 

$1,226.61

$17.31

 

$957.92

$766.80

 

Daily Change USD

$2.65

$0.09

 

$7.05

$9.85

 

Daily Change %

 

0.22%

0.52%

 

0.73%

1.27%

 

London Fixings

AM

$1,228.75

**

 

 

$955.00

$771.00

 

 

PM

$1,229.60

$17.40

 

$960.00

$778.00

 

COMEX Trading Volume

153151

39665

 

11814

3341

 

Active Month Settlement

$1,230.20

$17.41

 

$963.00

$775.80

 

Previous Session

 

$1,227.10

$17.33

 

$958.00

$766.65

 

Daily Change

 

$3.10

$0.08

 

$5.00

$9.15

 

EFP's

 

1.4/1.7

4/7

 

 

0/2

0/1

 

Forwards & Options

1 Month

3 months

 

6 months

12 months

 

GOFO

 

-

-

 

 

-

-

 

USD LIBOR

 

0.97611

1.15178

 

1.43156

1.81317

 

Gold ATM Vols

 

10.507

12.310

 

13.06

14.49

 

Silver ATM Vols

 

18.75

20.59

 

21.5

22.96

 

Platinum ATM Vols

17.000

16.900

 

16.700

16.750

 

Palladium ATM Vols

23.250

24.200

 

24.850

25.100

 

Market Daily & Weekly

Market Snap Shot

 

17/03/2017

 

1 Day%

1 Week %

 

XAU

 

 

$1,229.26

 

0.22

2.02

 

XAG

 

 

$17.40

 

0.52

2.13

 

XPT

 

 

$964.97

 

0.73

2.33

 

XPD

 

 

$776.65

 

1.27

6.33

 

Note: Indications only, open and closing prices are bids; Data source: Bloomberg; Times as per Dubai

Fundamentals and News

Yellen Surprises Hedge Funds Who Cut Gold Wagers Before Rally

  • Janet Yellen’s soothing words on the pace of U.S. interest rate hikes were a day late for hedge funds losing faith in the metal.

 

  • Money managers cut their bullish bets on bullion by the most since 2015 in the week ended March 14. The next day, Federal Reserve Chair Yellen reiterated that monetary policy will remain accommodative for “some time,” easing market fears that there might be more than three rate hikes this year. Her words sparked the biggest gold rally since November.

 

  • Gold, which climbed through the first two months of the year, had foundered in March as the prospect of higher borrowing costs curbed the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets. Yellen’s remarks came as the Bank of Japan maintains its unprecedented monetary easing program and the Bank of England holds its benchmark rate at a record low, helping to keep yields on trillions of dollars worth of debt below zero.

 

  • “The fact that we still have stimulative measures, the fact that we still have negative rates out there -- that generates uncertainty in people’s minds,” saidGeorge Milling-Stanley, the head of gold strategy at State Street Global Advisors, which oversees $2.47 trillion. “There’s still an awful lot of things out there that are supportive of gold in the short- to long-term.”

 

  • The funds reduced their gold net-long position, or the difference between bets on a price increase and wagers on a decline, by 47 percent to 49,835 futures and options contracts in the week ended March 14, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released three days later. That was the biggest decline since December 2015.

 

  • As traders awaited the Fed meeting, gold futures in New York dropped in the first part of last week. Yellen’s statement on March 15 then reversed those losses, sending the metal up 2.5 percent to $1,230.20 an ounce at the close on March 17, the biggest two-day gain since Nov. 2.

 

  • Yields on more than $8 trillion in government and corporate debt in the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index of investment-grade bonds have fallen below zero, meaning they’re certain to lose money if held to maturity. While the Fed funds rate rose by a quarter point to 0.75 percent to 1 percent last week, that upper-band of the range is still well below the average of 5.18 percent over the past four decades.

 

Data Forthcoming Releases

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Time

Country

Today's Events

Forecast

Previous

Actual

 

 

9:10pm

USD

FOMC Member Evans Speaks

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Dubai Time

Courtesy: http://kalotipm.com.sg/kaloti-market-report-march-20th-2017