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Global Economic, Scrap Metal, Commodities and Recycling Report September 9, 2019

This is the Global Economic, Scrap Metal, Commodities and Recycling Report, by BENLEE Roll off Trailers and Gondola Trailers, September 9th 2019.

 

weekly tonnage of raw steel production

U.S. steel production fell to 1.850 Million tons, a 12-month low on slowing U.S. manufacturing.

 

Steel Production

Here is an old chart. U.S. steel production from 2007 through mid-2009; that was bad. 2019 is nothing like 2008.

 

crude oil

Oil rose to $56.20 a barrel, as OPEC cuts shipments to the U.S., which lowers U.S. inventories, which supports higher global prices.

 

US Field Production of Crude Oil

U.S. oil production fell to 12.4M barrels a day, near the recent record, as shale oil growth continues.

 

Iron Ore

Iron ore rose to $90/Ton, on steady to slowing global demand.

 

AMM Weekly Heavy Melt

Scrap steel #1 HMS fell about $40/Ton to about $208/GT, a multiyear low, on global slowing.

 

Hot Roll Coil Steel

Hot roll coil steel fell to $28.31/Hundred on continued slowing demand.

 

Copper

Copper rose to $2.63, just above the multiyear low, on hopes of a China trade deal.

 

Aluminum

Aluminum rose to 79.8 cents, like copper on hopes of a China trade deal.

 

Cardboard OCC

Cardboard scrap OCC SE was steady at the decade low $35/Ton. China demand remained weak as is U.S. demand, as major U.S. users are implementing cardboard alternatives and reducing packaging.

 

Euro Area Economic Growth

Euro Area Economic growth is important because the Euro economy is larger than the U.S. economy. They slowed and grew at only .2%, with Germany being negative due to less shipments to China.

 

China’s IMPORTS

China’s August Imports, fell 5.6% vs last year, with unwrought copper and steel products falling the most, while copper concentrate rose. Importantly, the U.S. shipped 22.4% less to China and Europe shipped 5.2% less. The Tariff war is hurting both sides.

 

U.S. Manufacturing Index

August’s U.S. Manufacturing fell into contraction mode. New orders, production, backlogs and employment all fell. U.S. is shipping less to China.

 

U.S. Balance of Trade

July’s U.S. Trade deficit with the rest of the world improved slightly, but is still bad. Our deficit was worse with China, Europe, Mexico and Japan.

 

U.S. New Jobs

August’s U.S. job creation was 130,000, which is OK, but only about 1/3 of some of the levels the U.S. hit in 2014, and has been trending down in 2019.

 

U.S. Unemployment Rate

Even with the slowing, the percent unemployment remained steady at a low 3.7%, which supports great consumer spending, helping offset weak manufacturing.

 

Labor Force Participation Rate

The Labor participation rate is those over 16 years of age, that can work and are working. It rose to 63.2, so only 63.2% that can work, are working. We need to get more people into the workforce to pay taxes vs. sitting at home.

 

Dow Jones

Wall Street’s Dow Jones Average rose to 26,797 on positive trade talks with the China. The current U.S. growth of about 2.5% could be 3.25% or more, if we had a trade deal with China.

 

Safety

Safety remains key to us at BENLEE. To save lives we added two standard safety features to our trailers that you can retrofit to older BENLEE units. Sadly, this week we met a new manager at a very large customer who oversees our units. NONE had been retrofitted with the Danger, Electrocution warning sign, which is 1 penny, yes one penny and none had the hoist up sensor/strobe warning light which is a very inexpensive $270. Call us or order them online today, if you have not installed them.

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