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Global Economic, Scrap Metal, Commodities and Recycling Report November 4, 2019

This is the Global Economic, Scrap Metal, Commodities and Recycling Report, by BENLEE Roll off Trailers and Open Top Scrap Gondola Trailers, November 4th, 2019.

 

weekly tonnage of raw steel production

U.S. steel production rose to 1.866 Million tons, on a continued slow growth economy.

 

Crude Oil

Oil fell to $56.20 a barrel, on a good balance of supply and demand as OPEC continues cuts and the U.S. continues record production.

 

US Field Production of Crude Oil

U.S. weekly oil production was steady again at 12.6M barrels a day, at the record high, but the oil rig count hit an about 18 month low, so less steel is being used for rigs. Record oil production remains great overall economic news.

 

Iron Ore

Iron ore fell to 85.50/Ton, on continued global manufacturing slowing, while China growth continues.

 

AMM Weekly Heavy Melt

Scrap steel #1 HMS remained $182.67 a multi-year low, but November should be flat to up $25 or more, depending on the U.S. market territory.

 

Hot Roll Coil Steel

Hot roll coil steel Rose to $24.79/Hundred off the 3.5-year low. GM is back running, but much manufacturing demand remains weak.

 

Copper

Copper rose to $2.66, a multi week high on positive U.S. China trade news.

 

Aluminum

Aluminum fell to 80.66 cents, a multi week high on the same positive U.S. China trade news, but Aluminum scrap prices remain depressed.

 

China Manufacturing Index

China’s October Manufacturing Index rose to 51.7, the strongest pace of expansion since February 2017, as output grew the most since December 2016. New orders increased the most in over 6 years boosted by exports and purchasing increased the most in 20 months.

 

U.S. GDP

U.S. GDP Q3 growth fell to 1.9%. 2018’s growth, last year was 2.8%, 2019 est. is 2.4% and 2020 Estimated at 2.2% or less. The problem the White House forecast was that the 2018 tax cut was to bring 4, 5 and 6% growth. This current slow growth is despite huge government deficit spending, with larger deficits to bring higher taxes and slower growth.

 

New Jobs CreatedP

The U.S. October report show news jobs created fell to 128,000, but while nowhere near the 320 to 340,000 new jobs a few years ago, it was still a good level and importantly new jobs support consumer spending so this is great news.

 

Unemployement Rate

October’s U.S. unemployment rate rose slightly to 3.6% as more people joined the workforce, so the labor participation rate, which is all people over 16 years of age that can work, edged up to 63.3, meaning only 63.3 of people that can work, are working. Good news that the participation rate is rising.

 

Federal Reserve Interest Rates

As for where the U.S. October jobs were, Leisure, Hospitality, Healthcare were Up very nicely, while manufacturing had a huge loss, which overall pressures lower commodity prices.

 

Federal Reserve Interest Rates

The U.S. Federal Reserve Lowered interest rates to counter the economic slowdown we are seeing. It is unusual to do since Stock market at record highs and the employment rate remains 50-year lows.

 

Dow Jones

Wall Street’s Dow Jones Average rose to 26,958 near the record high, which brings the wealth effect, which is when there are high Wall Street values that brings spending as people feel wealthy.

 

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