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Global Economic, Scrap Metal, Commodities and Recycling Report February 18, 2019

This is the Global Economic, Scrap Metal, Commodities and Recycling Report, by BENLEE Roll off Trailers and Open Top Scrap Gondola Trailers, February 18th, 2019.

 

Last week, prices and economic reports were mostly mixed.

 

weekly tonnage of raw steel production

U.S. steel production rose slightly to 1.897 Million tons. A very good number, despite the big slowdown in Automotive. Tariffs remain a key to keeping production up.

 

Crude Oil

Oil rose $2.78/barrel to a multi month high of $55.59. OPEC continues to cut production as U.S. pumping remains high. The International Energy Agency said despite cuts by many countries, oil will be in oversupply in 2019, keeping prices fairly low.

 

US Field Production of Crude Oil

U.S. oil production stayed at the record level of 11.9M barrels a day for the 5th week in a row. The U.S. has about the 10th most proven oil reserves, with Venezuela and Saudi Arabia #1 and 2, but the U.S. is now producing the most oil of any country.

 

Iron Ore

Iron ore rose $1/ton to $87.50. The second largest global iron ore company in the world, Vale, was given permission to reopen their Brazilian mine, after a major dam collapse so prices could come down.

 

AMM Weekly Heavy Melt Price

Scrap steel #1 remained steady at $298/GT with good U.S. demand, with continued reports of upward pressure by both domestic and export sources.

 

Hot Roll Coil Steel

Hot roll coiled steel was down slightly to $34.04 per Hundred, as demand slows, but the cost of Iron Ore and DRI have risen, putting upward pressure on prices.

 

5 Year Copper

Copper was steady at $2.81.5 with massive amounts of good and bad economic news. Global slowing, mixed with strong Wall Street and China trade news had little effect.

 

Aluminum

Aluminum was down about 1.4 cents to 82.94 cents, remaining near 18-month lows, as China ramped up aluminum exports.

 

US Retail Sales

December’s U.S. U.S. retail trade fell by 1.2 percent, the steepest decline since September 2009, as sales fell in almost all categories. Excluding volatile automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales dropped 1.7 percent. December’s stock market crash and the government shut down, took their toll. Retail activity drives the U.S. economy so this can have a major effect.

 

US Inflation

January’s year over year U.S. inflation fell for the third month in a row to 1.6% mainly due to a big drop in gasoline prices. Excluding food and energy, prices rose 2.2%. Note, oil just hit a multi month high, so this inflation drop could end. Low inflation puts downward pressure on interest rates.

 

Germany and Japan

Japan and Germany are the, 3rd and 4th largest global economies. Both had negative growth in Q3. Japan grew slightly in Q4 and Germany had no Q4 growth. Since neither were negative in Q4, both adverted a recession, which is defined as two quarters of negative growth.

 

Consumer Confidence

February’s preliminary consumer confidence reading was up to 95.5, reflecting the end of the partial government shutdown, and expectations that the Fed is going to pause raising interest rates. Consumers also expect lower inflation.

 

U.S. Job Openings

U.S. December Job openings continued it’s about 10 years of growth and has hit a new record. Construction jobs remain the #1 opening. This is great news!

 

Dow Jones

Wall Street’s Dow Jones jumped to 25,883 on positive news of China talks and as the President signed legislation keeping the government open, but investors remain nervous. There is more non-invested cash sitting on the sidelines than at any time on the past 10 years, since the crash of 2009. This cash missed the past 8 weeks of increases in the DOW.

 

WWETT

The WWETT trade show, formally called the Pumper show starts this Thursday. For those that are going, we will be there with our terrific Double container trailer and our Roll off Truck Replacement trailer the Super Mini.

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